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Methodology

How the TortSignal Score™ works.

Every monitored tort is scored 0–100 across four AI-computed dimensions, refreshed every two hours from live court dockets, FDA databases, and curated media feeds. Adjust the weights below to see how the rankings change in real time.

The four dimensions + 1 intelligence matrix

M · S · C · T · +S

Mdefault 30%

Momentum

How fast the litigation is moving right now.

  • ·New federal & state filings (rolling 30-day velocity)
  • ·JPML MDL transfer orders & statistical reports
  • ·Bellwether scheduling and trial calendar
  • ·Plaintiff verdict trend and recent settlements
Sdefault 25%

Science

Strength of the causation evidence and regulatory record.

  • ·Peer-reviewed publications (PubMed, BMJ, NEJM)
  • ·FDA MAUDE / FAERS adverse-event signals
  • ·FDA recalls, warning letters, label changes
  • ·EPA enforcement & CERCLA designations
Cdefault 25%

Campaign

Plaintiff-bar competition and attorney economics.

  • ·Estimated CPL by jurisdiction
  • ·Active firm count and ad spend density
  • ·Geographic saturation index
  • ·Inventory availability vs. campaign demand
Tdefault 20%

Timeline

Position in the litigation lifecycle.

  • ·Pre-MDL signal vs. consolidated MDL
  • ·Bellwether selection vs. trial
  • ·Global settlement framework status
  • ·Statute-of-limitations and wind-down pressure

➕ The +1 Amplifier

The Simula Effect

Smultiplier · 100% +

Synthetic Verification & Forecasting. A separate process layered on top of the M·S·C·T score — scoring stays the same; Simula adds verification and simulation when historical data hits a wall.

Available exclusively on the Partner Plan

🔒 Upgrade to Partner Plan to unlock

What Simula adds

Synthetic Cohort Generation

Generate high-fidelity, simulated plaintiff profiles to train intake algorithms without breaching HIPAA or sealed court records.

Dual-Critic Stress Testing

Deploy logic models to proactively attack and defend expert witness testimonies, simulating Daubert challenge survivability before stepping into court.

Out-of-Distribution Forecasting

Simulate edge-case defense strategies and estimate settlement ranges for entirely novel torts that lack historical benchmarks.

Domain Taxonomy Mapping

Build structured, logic-driven blueprints of emerging chemical or pharmaceutical exposures months before formal litigation solidifies.

🧮 Interactive breakdown

Tune the weights. Watch the ranking shift.

Pick a tort, then drag the four sliders to weight Momentum, Science, Campaign, and Timeline however your firm thinks about cases. The composite score and leaderboard recompute live.

MMomentumsub-score 95
weight 30% · contributes 28.5
SSciencesub-score 100
weight 25% · contributes 25
CCampaignsub-score 79
weight 25% · contributes 19.8
TTimelinesub-score 100
weight 20% · contributes 20

Composite under your weights

Ozempic / Semaglutide (GLP-1)

93/ 100

Default weights → 94 · Δ -1

Open Ozempic intel →

Data sources

  • · Federal & state court dockets (PACER, state e-filing)
  • · JPML MDL transfer orders & statistical reports
  • · FDA MAUDE, FAERS, recall & warning letter feeds
  • · EPA enforcement & CERCLA designation actions
  • · Peer-reviewed publications (PubMed, BMJ, NEJM)
  • · Curated litigation media (Law360, Reuters, Courthouse News)

Scoring outputs

  • Signal Score — composite 0–100, refreshed every 2 hours
  • Opportunity Score — attorney upside (CPL, plaintiff pool, value range)
  • Risk Score — causation friction, defendant strength, statute pressure
  • Campaign Status — OPEN · CLOSING · CLOSED
  • Stage — Late · Middle · Early

Want the underlying data?

The Partner tier includes API access, weekly intelligence briefs, and exclusive lead routing for any monitored tort.

Note: TortSignal is a litigation-intelligence and marketing platform, not a law firm. Scores are analytical signals — not legal advice or outcome guarantees. Attorneys remain responsible for compliance with applicable bar rules including ABA Model Rules of Professional Conduct.